Prediction Markets Put Bitcoin's Odds of Reaching $70,000 by End-2026 at 52%
Prediction markets assign Bitcoin a 52% implied probability of reaching $70,000 before 2027. According to Odaily, Polymarket data also puts the odds of Bitcoin reaching $90,000 at 24% and $100,000 at 9%; as of November 7, Bitcoin was priced at $75,723, down 2.4% over seven days and 6.6% over the past month. Kalshi year-end contracts assigned a 17.6% probability to a 2026 settlement price between $75,000 and $79,999.99, and a 17.5% probability to a price between $70,000 and $74,999.99, for a combined 35.1%. Polymarket contracts track whether specified prices are reached during the year, while Kalshi contracts forecast the settlement price at the end of 2026.